{"id":107219,"date":"2022-06-19T13:09:03","date_gmt":"2022-06-19T07:39:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/centralrecorder.com\/jurassic-world-dominion-beating-lightyear-with-67m\/"},"modified":"2022-06-19T13:09:03","modified_gmt":"2022-06-19T07:39:03","slug":"jurassic-world-dominion-beating-lightyear-with-67m","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/centralrecorder.com\/jurassic-world-dominion-beating-lightyear-with-67m\/","title":{"rendered":"\u2018Jurassic World Dominion\u2019 Beating \u2018Lightyear\u2019 With $67M+"},"content":{"rendered":"
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SATURDAY PM: <\/strong>In a Saturday matinee brawl at the box office between a Disney Pixar space ranger and Universal\/Amblin dinosaurs, the prehistoric beasts win. Industry estimates show Jurassic World Dominion <\/em><\/strong>swallowed up Saturday over\u00a0<\/strong>Lightyear<\/strong>,\u00a0<\/em>$21.8M<\/strong> to $15.7M. <\/strong>Lightyear\u00a0<\/em>will be lucky to hit $50M<\/strong> for the 3-day (these estimates do not come from Disney), if it has a robust Father\u2019s Day as Dominion\u00a0<\/em>will also steal the Friday-Sunday frame with $58.3M<\/strong>, -60% \u2013not far from 2018 Fallen Kingdom<\/em>\u2018s second weekend -58% decline. All in with the 4-day holiday, Dominion <\/em>is looking at $67.6M<\/strong>. This will put the Coin Trevorrow directed, co-written and produced sixth\u00a0Jurassic <\/em>title at $258.7M, 6% behind Fallen<\/em> Kingdom<\/em>\u2018s 11-day running cume.<\/p>\n

Seriously, a mindboggling result here given the great diagnostics on Lightyear<\/em>: 61% gave it a definite recommend to\u00a0Dominion<\/em>\u2018s 57% in its opening weekend. Plus\u00a0Lightyear\u00a0<\/em>scored 85% positive to\u00a0Dominion<\/em>\u2018s 73% in exits. We\u2019ve heard grumbles that some of the die-hard\u00a0Toy Story\u00a0<\/em>fans are put off by Chris Evans as the voice of Buzz Lightyear vs. franchise vet Tim Allen. However, the exits don\u2019t necessarily show anything negative in that regard: 20% came out for Evans vs. 16% for Chris Pratt in Dominion<\/em>\u2018s opening weekend. Forty-five percent of those polled bought tickets to Lightyear\u00a0<\/em>because it was part of a franchise they loved, which isn\u2019t far from the 43% who bought tickets to\u00a0Dominion\u00a0<\/em>for that same exact reason.<\/p>\n

Also, let\u2019s behold the unstoppable sound barrier breaking power of Paramount\u2019s\u00a0Top Gun: Maverick<\/em><\/strong>. The Tom Cruise pic\u2019s fourth weekend stands at $43.1M<\/strong>, which is the third best fourth weekend ever for a major motion picture behind American Sniper\u00a0<\/em>($89.1M) and\u00a0Avatar\u00a0<\/em>($50.1M).<\/em> You could even argue it\u2019s the second best for a movie in its fourth weekend, as\u00a0American Sniper <\/em>went wide in weekend 4 after a platform holiday release. Heck, Top Gun 2<\/em>\u2018s fourth weekend is even higher than Spider-Man: No Way Home <\/em>which did $32.6M.\u00a0Top Gun 2<\/em>\u2018s ease here is a 17% dip from weekend 3 with an expected Sunday EOD running total of $465.3M<\/strong> after a $15.3M<\/strong> Saturday, +40% over Friday (just $400K shy of Lightyear<\/em>).<\/p>\n

We\u2019ll have more updates in the AM.<\/p>\n

SATURDAY AM: <\/strong>Well, this wasn\u2019t suppose to happen. Disney\u2019s\u00a0Lightyear<\/strong>,\u00a0<\/em>despite an A- CinemaScore and 4 stars\/85% positive on PostTrak, is coming in way under its $70M-$85M projection, with a $51M-$55M<\/strong> 3-day weekend to Universal\/Amblin\u2019s second weekend of\u00a0Jurassic World Dominion<\/em><\/strong> with $57.1M<\/strong>, -61%.\u00a0Jurassic <\/em>could even reach $66.3M through the four-day Juneteenth holiday.<\/p>\n

What the hell happened here? Despite the lowest Rotten Tomatoes rating of the\u00a0Toy Story <\/em>franchise at 77% Certified Fresh, it\u2019s clear no one in great quantity is going to see the origin story of Buzz Lightyear. Understand that a Pixar movie and a Jurassic <\/em>movie have played in close proximity to each other on the calendar before, and they both walked away with an embarrassment of riches. While we\u2019ve mentioned that spinoffs always open lower than the core franchise films (take your pick:\u00a0Fantastic Beasts vs. Harry Potter, Hobbs & Shaw vs. Fast & Furious\u00a0<\/em>and\u00a0Bumblebee vs. Transformers<\/em>), this could be a case of going to the\u00a0Toy Story <\/em>well too soon, too fast, despite the fact that theater closures and a pandemic stood between now and the last Toy Story 4 <\/em>three years ago.<\/p>\n

Like Universal with\u00a0Dominion,\u00a0<\/em>it\u2019s not like Disney didn\u2019t market\u00a0Lightyear,\u00a0<\/em>and if you comb through the top critics on Rotten Tomatoes, a majority of them seemed to enjoy it.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s clear the majority of Toy Story <\/em>fans are not out in abundance. Remember that movie is an ensemble pic in all its toy characters, an appealing factor for all the parents that grew up with those icons like slinky dog and Mr. and Mrs. Potato Head. Also limiting audiences here with\u00a0Lightyear <\/em>is that there\u2019s not much for girls to hook their hats on; the outer space aspect makes this spinoff a big driver for boys, hence the turnout of more boys than girls.<\/p>\n

Also, families in an inflation economy might be choosing their battles in a streaming laden marketplace: They\u2019ll go see Jurassic<\/em> on the big screen, which won\u2019t be in the homes for a while, but might wait to see an nth Toy Story <\/em>movie on Disney+.<\/p>\n

While the box office economics on a $200M animated movie aren\u2019t great from Disney\u2019s POV, particularly in regards to the official and internal studio projections, and the Toy Story <\/em>franchise itself, exhibition sees a different side of the coin after going through their own depression in 2020-21: $51M-$55M is a damn good opening. More reason for exhibitors to sing \u201cWe\u2019re in The Money\u201d from\u00a042nd Street\u00a0<\/em>is the fact that the three-day weekend is ringing up an estimated $161.1M, 18% ahead of the same weekend in 2019, the benchmark year for determining whether the domestic box office has returned to healthy levels.<\/p>\n

K-12 schools are off at 95% on Monday, so we\u2019ll see if Lightyear\u00a0<\/em>can find an extra set of jet fuel today through Monday.<\/p>\n

Of those who turned out for\u00a0Lightyear,\u00a0<\/em>52% were men, 48% females. Some 61% of those who bought tickets were between 18-34. Men over 25 were dominant at 30%, giving the film its best grade of 87% positive. Females under 25 at 24% also gave it 87%. Females over 25 repped 24% of the audience and graded the Pixar film with an 85%. Men under 25 at 23% gave the film a 79% grade.<\/p>\n

Diversity demos were 46% Caucasian, 28% Hispanic and Latino, 10% Black, and 11% Asian. Lightyear<\/em>\u2018s best territories were in the West and Southwest, where eight of its top ten runs came from. Imax and PLF screens are contributing close to a quarter of the box office to date.<\/p>\n

Throwing an extra monkey wrench into the Father\u2019s Day weekend box office against the competition is the holdover power of Paramount\u2019s Top Gun: Maverick<\/strong>,\u00a0<\/em>the ultimate movie to take your dad to. The movie is eyeing a glorious 4th weekend of $40M<\/strong>, -23%, for a running total of $462.1M; just $37.9M<\/strong> from a half billion stateside.<\/p>\n

In tenth place is Focus Features\u2019 release of Jim Archer\u2019s Sundance premiere Brian and Charles<\/strong>\u00a0<\/em>in 279 locations. Pic is eyeing $197K<\/strong> for 3-days, $220K<\/strong> for 4 days for an theater average of $706.<\/p>\n

1.)\u00a0Jurassic World Dominion\u00a0<\/em><\/strong>(Uni) 4,697 (+21) theaters, Fri $15.7M <\/strong>(-74%), 3-day $57.1M <\/strong>(-61%)\/4-day $66.2M<\/strong>\/Total $257.3M<\/strong>\/Wk 2<\/p>\n

2.)\u00a0Lightyear\u00a0<\/em><\/strong>(Dis) 4,255 theaters, Fri $20.7M<\/strong>\/3-day $51M-$55M<\/strong>, 4-day est $59.8M<\/strong>\/Wk 1<\/p>\n

3.) Top Gun: Maverick\u00a0<\/em><\/strong>(Par) 4,262 (-489) theaters, Fri\u00a0$10.96M <\/strong>(-23%),\u00a0 3-day $40M<\/strong> (-23%), 4-day $46.5M<\/strong>, Total $468.6M<\/strong>\/Wk 4<\/p>\n

4.)\u00a0Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness <\/em><\/strong>(Dis) 2,465 (-880) theaters, Fri $1.1M (-23%), 3-day $4.2M <\/strong>(-19%), 4-day $4.4M<\/strong>, Total $405.2M<\/strong>\/Wk 7<\/p>\n

5.)\u00a0Bob\u2019s Burgers\u00a0<\/em><\/strong>(20th\/Dis) 1,350 (-1,255) theaters, Fri $349K<\/strong> (-51%), 3-day $1.18M<\/strong> (-51%), 4-day $1.3M<\/strong>, Total\u00a0 $30M<\/strong>\/Wk 4<\/p>\n

6.)\u00a0The Bad Guys<\/strong>\u00a0<\/em>(Uni) 1,477 (-939) theaters, Fri $270K (-63%), 3-day $950K<\/strong> (-63%), 4-day $1.1M,<\/strong> Total $94.3M<\/strong> \/Wk 9<\/p>\n

7.)\u00a0Everything, Everywhere All at Once<\/strong>\u00a0<\/em>(A24) 679 (-755) theaters, Fri $260K<\/strong> (-27%), 3-day $984K <\/strong>(-25%), 4-day $1.08M<\/strong>, Total $65M<\/strong>\/Wk 13<\/p>\n

8.)\u00a0Downton Abbey \u2013 A New Era<\/strong>\u00a0<\/em>(Foc) 1,179 (-832) theaters, Fri $260K<\/strong> (-50%), 3-day $850K <\/strong>(-52%), 4-day $990K<\/strong>, Total: $42.3M<\/strong>\/Wk 5<\/p>\n

9.)\u00a0Sonic the Hedgehog 2<\/strong>\u00a0<\/em>(Par) 439 (-628) theaters\u00a0 $53K, 3-day $200K<\/strong> (-73%), 4-day $240K<\/strong>, Total $190.4M<\/strong>\/Wk 11<\/p>\n

10.)\u00a0Brian and Charles<\/strong>\u00a0<\/em>(Foc) 279 theaters, Fri $73K, 3-day $197K<\/strong>, 4-day $220K<\/strong>, Wk 1<\/p>\n

FRIDAY AFTERNOON: <\/strong>Friday is clearly in favor of Disney\/Pixar\u2019s\u00a0Lightyear\u00a0<\/em>with $23M, that includes the $5.2M previews. However, there\u2019s some suspense from Universal\/Amblin\u2019s Jurassic World Dominion\u00a0<\/em>possibly sinking its teeth into the cartoon astronaut.<\/p>\n

Current 3-day outlook for\u00a0Lightyear\u00a0<\/em>is $55M+ and\u00a0Jurassic World Dominion\u00a0<\/em>is at $53.4M, but there\u2019s a projection that the latter cold clear $61M over 4-days sending its running total to $253M.<\/p>\n

Still too early to say Lightyear\u00a0<\/em>is underperforming for Saturday matinees and Sunday Father\u2019s Day business are its greatest strengths.\u00a0At this early stage, we heard that hourlies are progressing better than\u00a0Sonic the Hedgehog 2<\/em>\u2018s during its first Friday in April. Should that momentum continue through the rest of this afternoon, then there\u2019s a chance\u00a0Lightyear <\/em>gets to $60M.<\/p>\n

In last night\u2019s PostTrak exits,\u00a0Lightyear <\/em>notched four stars with overall audiences and a 62% recommend. The audience make-up was 67% general, 16% parents and 17% kids under 12. Parents gave the movie 4 1\/2 stars whereas kids under 12 gave it 5 stars. Boys outnumbered girls, 61% to 39%. Of the general audience, 53% where men, 47% women.<\/p>\n

FRIDAY AM: <\/strong>Pixar\u2019s return to the big screen,\u00a0Lightyear,\u00a0<\/em>did $5.2M between fan Wednesday previews and Thursday night shows, which is just under the $6.3M that Paramount\u2019s\u00a0Sonic the Hedgehog 2\u00a0<\/em>did back in April over its first two days of previews.<\/p>\n

Lightyear<\/em>\u2018s Wednesday fan screenings started at 6PM, while Thursday showtimes began at 3PM. The sci-fi origin story of space ranger Buzz Lightyear is booked at 4,255 theaters and is expected to do between $70M-$85M. Global start is being eyed at $135M, with the overseas footprint being 43 material markets, representing 79% of international. Rotten Tomatoes reviews are at 80% certified fresh which is below the high 90%-100% range of the Toy Story\u00a0<\/em>movies. If the family film is going to overindex, it boil down to Father\u2019s Day traffic, not to mention, the Juneteenth holiday being celebrated on Monday. To date during the pandemic, Paramount\u2019s\u00a0Sonic the Hedgehog 2\u00a0<\/em>owns the best opening for a family movie at $72.1M.<\/p>\n

Lightyear\u00a0<\/em>is well ahead of the Tuesday pre-holiday previews of Universal\/Illumination\u2019s Sing 2\u00a0<\/em>($1.6M) and Disney\u2019s\u00a0Encanto\u00a0<\/em>($1.5M). Presales for\u00a0Lightyear\u00a0<\/em>were estimated to be around $10M as of yesterday, just under\u00a0Sonic the Hedgehog 2<\/em>\u2018s $12M-$14M.<\/p>\n

Universal\/Amblin\u2019s\u00a0Jurassic World Dominion\u00a0<\/em>led all movies in regular release yesterday with $8.66M, -13% from Wednesday at 4,676. The movie will share Imax screens with\u00a0Lightyear\u00a0<\/em>this weekend, but cede them in its third weekend fully to the Disney\/Pixar film. First week\u2019s take for\u00a0Dominion\u00a0<\/em>is $191.1M, 7% behind the first week of\u00a0Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

Paramount\/Skydance\u2019s\u00a0Top Gun: Maverick\u00a0<\/em>saw $6.2M yesterday, -6% from Wednesday for a third week of $78.7M and running total of $422.1M.<\/p>\n

Disney\/Marvel\u2019s\u00a0Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness\u00a0<\/em>did an estimated $614K, for a $7.9M sixth week and $400.8M running total.<\/p>\n

Universal\/DreamWorks Animation\u2019s\u00a0The Bad Guys\u00a0<\/em>grossed $282K, -24%, for a $4M eighth week, and $93.2M running total.<\/p>\n

Disney\u2019s\u00a0The Bob\u2019s Burgers Movies\u00a0<\/em>made an estimated $280K, for a $3.9M third week and running total of $28.7M.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

SATURDAY PM: In a Saturday matinee brawl at the box office between a Disney Pixar space ranger and Universal\/Amblin dinosaurs, the prehistoric beasts win. Industry estimates show Jurassic World Dominion swallowed up Saturday over\u00a0Lightyear,\u00a0$21.8M to $15.7M. Lightyear\u00a0will be lucky to hit $50M for the 3-day (these estimates do not come from Disney), if it has […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":51,"featured_media":107220,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[101,3,105,106],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/centralrecorder.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/\u2018Jurassic-World-Dominion-Beating-\u2018Lightyear-With-67M.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/centralrecorder.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107219"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/centralrecorder.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/centralrecorder.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/centralrecorder.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/51"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/centralrecorder.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107219"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/centralrecorder.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107219\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/centralrecorder.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/107220"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/centralrecorder.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107219"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/centralrecorder.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107219"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/centralrecorder.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107219"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}