Variety Awards Circuit section contains all news and related content throughout 2018. It includes the following: The official awards predictions for next year OscarsAnd EmmysClayton Davis, Variety senior award editor, hosts ceremonies. Awards Circuit Column provides weekly analysis by Michael Schneider and Davis of the trends and candidates. Awards Circuit Podcast features talent and a roundtable discussion. Awards Circuit Video examines different categories and contestants by Variety's most respected awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage allows it to provide unparalleled exposure in print as well as online. It also provides inside reports about all the contestants in this year's awards race races.
Visit this page to see all the latest FILM forecasts for all categories. THE OSCARS COLLECTIVE You can visit each category to see the individual awards. THE OSCARS HUB (coming soon). Click here to view old predictions and commentary OSCARS PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES The link to TV awards can be found atTHE EMMYS HUB
UPDATED August 13, 2022
2023 OSCARS PREDICTIONS BEST ACTOR
AWARDS PREDICTION COMENTARY:
The fall festival circuit is weeks from kicking off where we’ll get first looks at “The Whale”Brendan Fraser “The Son”Hugh Jackman “White Noise”Adam Driver. Names like Austin Butler are well-known to critics and pundits. “Elvis,”Bill Nighy “Living”Tom Cruise, perhaps? “Top Gun: Maverick”It will be discussed.
As they portray real-life characters, transformational performances may be the focus of Butler and Fraser’s films.
“The Inspection” was named as the closing film for New York Film Festival, and in its midst is said to be an awards-worthy performance from Jeremy Pope, and then there’s the possible double dose of Christian Bale this year with Scott Cooper’s “The Pale Blue Eye” and David O. Russell’s “Amsterdam.”
Category winner in 2022Will Smith “King Richard” (Warner Bros.)
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS & RANKINGS:
Bill Nighy is in ‘Living’ Ross Ferguson
And the Predicted Nominees are:
Rank
Name
Film
Distributor
1
Hugh Jackman
“The Son”
Sony Pictures Classics
Peter is overwhelmed by his busy life, Emma his partner, and their baby. Then Kate, his ex-wife arrives with Nicholas his teenage son.
2
Brendan Fraser
“The Whale”
A24
An English teacher who is severely obese attempts to reunite with his teenage daughter.
3
Bill Nighy
“Living”
Sony Pictures Classics
The English translation of the script is available here “Ikiru”(1952), Set in London in 1952.
4
Daniel Giménez Cacho
“Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)”
Netflix
The film examines Mexico’s political and social modernity.
5
Austin Butler
“Elvis”
Warner Bros
Biopic on Elvis Presley, from his childhood through his rise to stardom in rock and film in the 1950s. He also maintained a complex relationship, with Colonel Tom Parker, as his manager.
Next in Line
6
Adam Driver
“White Noise”
Netflix
“White Noise” dramatizes a contemporary American family’s attempts to deal with the mundane conflicts of everyday life while grappling with the universal mysteries of love, death, and the possibility of happiness in an uncertain world.
7
Christian Bale
“Amsterdam”
20th Century Studios
Set in the ’30s, it follows three friends who witness a murder, become suspects themselves, and uncover one of the most outrageous plots in American history.
8
Song Kang-ho
“Broker”
Neon
You can leave your unwanted babies in the boxes.
9
Tom Cruise
“Top Gun: Maverick”
Paramount Pictures
After more than thirty years of service as one of the Navy’s top aviators, Pete Mitchell is where he belongs, pushing the envelope as a courageous test pilot and dodging the advancement in rank that would ground him.
10
Jeremy Pope
“The Inspection”
A24
Based on Elegance, a Marine Corps veteran who was a filmmaker.
Other Top-Tier Contestants
11
Colin Farrell
“The Banshees of Inisherin”
Searchlight Pictures
12
Christian Bale
“The Pale Blue Eye”
Netflix
13
Colin Firth
“Empire of Light”
Searchlight Pictures
14
Harry Styles*
“My Policeman”
Amazon Studios
15
Diego Calva
“Babylon”
Paramount Pictures
16
Winston Duke*
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”
Marvel Studios
17
Jim Parsons
“Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies”
Highlight Features
18
Paul Mescal
“Aftersun”
A24
19
Eddie Redmayne
“The Good Nurse”
Netflix
20
Adam Sandler
“Hustle”
Netflix
Also in Contention
21
Patton Oswalt
“I Love My Dad”
Magnolia Pictures
22
Tom Hanks
“A Man Called Otto”
Sony Pictures
23
Harris Dickinson
“Triangle of Sadness”
Neon
24
Billy Eichner
“Bros”
Universal Pictures
25
Mehdi Bajestani
“Holy Spider”
Utopia
26
Ewan McGregor*
“Raymond & Ray”
Apple Original Films
27
Daniel Craig
“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”
Netflix
28
Kelvin Harrison Jr.
“Chevalier”
Searchlight Pictures
29
Mark Rylance
“The Phantom of the Open”
Sony Pictures Classics
30
Park Hae-il
“Decision to Leave”
Mubi
Other Awards Options
31
Daniel Kaluuya
“Nope”
Universal Pictures
32
Sam Worthington
“Avatar: The Way of Water”
20th Century Studios
33
Daryl McCormack
“Good Luck to You, Leo Grande”
Searchlight Pictures
34
Caleb Landry Jones
“Nitram”
IFC Films
35
Ricardo Darín
“Argentina, 1985”
Amazon Studios
36
Viggo Mortensen
“Crimes of the Future”
Neon
37
Zac Efron
“The Greatest Beer Run Ever”
Apple Original Films
38
Cooper Raiff
“Cha Cha Real Smooth”
Apple Original Films
39
Jack O’Connell
“Lady Chatterley’s Lover”
Netflix
40
Ben Kingsley
“Dalíland”
No U.S. Distribution
Unranked Possible Contenders
—
Aaron Pierre*
“Brother”
No U.S. Distribution
—
Adam Sandler
“Hustle”
Netflix
—
Adam Sandler
“Spaceman”
Netflix
—
Alexander Skarsgård
“The Northman”
Highlight Features
—
Antonio Banderas
“Official Competition”
IFC Films
—
Austin Butler
“Elvis”
Warner Bros.
—
Ben Kingsley
“Dalíland”
No U.S. Distribution
—
Benedict Cumberbatch
“Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness”
Marvel Studios
—
Bill Nighy
“Living”
Sony Pictures Classics
—
Billy Eichner
“Bros”
Universal Pictures
—
Brad Pitt
“Bullet Train”
Sony Pictures
—
Brad Pitt*
“Babylon”
Paramount Pictures
—
Brendan Fraser
“The Whale”
A24
—
Brendan Gleeson*
“The Banshees of Inisherin”
Searchlight Pictures
—
Brian Cox
“Prisoner’s Daughter”
No U.S. Distribution
—
Caleb Landry Jones
“Nitram”
IFC Films
—
Casey Affleck
“Dreamin’ Wild”
No U.S. Distribution
—
Channing Tatum
“Dog”
MGM/United Artists Releasing
—
Chris Evans
“The Gray Man”
Netflix
—
Chris Evans
“Lightyear”
Pixar
—
Chris Hemsworth
“Thor: Love and Thunder”
Marvel Studios
—
Christian Bale
“Amsterdam”
20th Century Studios
—
Christian Bale
“The Pale Blue Eye”
Netflix
—
Colin Farrell
“After Yang”
A24
—
Colin Farrell
“The Banshees of Inisherin”
Searchlight Pictures
—
Colin Firth*
“Empire of Light”
Searchlight Pictures
—
Cooper Raiff
“Cha Cha Real Smooth”
Apple Original Films
—
Daniel Craig
“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”
Netflix
—
Daniel Giménez Cacho
“Bardo (or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)”
Netflix
—
Daniel Kaluuya
“Nope”
Universal Pictures
—
Daryl McCormack
“Good Luck to You, Leo Grande”
Searchlight Pictures
—
David Earl
“Brian and Charles”
Highlight Features
—
Diego Calva
“Babylon”
Paramount Pictures
—
Dwayne John
“Black Adam”
Warner Bros
—
Eddie Redmayne
“The Good Nurse”
Netflix
—
Eden Dambrine
“Close”
A24
—
Elio Germano
“Il Signore Delle Formiche”
No U.S. Distribution
—
Ethan Hawke*
“Raymond & Ray”
Apple Original Films
—
Ewan McGregor*
“Raymond & Ray”
Apple Original Films
—
Finn Wolfhard
“When You Finish Saving the World”
A24
—
Gabrielle LaPelle
“The Fabelmans”
Universal Pictures
—
George Clooney
“Ticket to Paradise”
Universal Pictures
—
Géza Röhrig
“The Way of the Wind”
No U.S. Distribution
—
Gregory Mann
“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio”
Netflix
—
Harris Dickinson
“Triangle of Sadness”
Neon
—
Harry Styles
“My Policeman”
Amazon Studios
—
Hugh Jackman
“The Son”
Sony Pictures Classics
—
Idris Elba
“Three Thousand Years of Longing”
MGM/United Artists Releasing
—
Jack O’Connell
“Lady Chatterley’s Lover”
Netflix
—
Jake Gyllenhaal
“Ambulance”
Universal Pictures
—
Jalyn Hall*
“Till”
Orion/United Artists Releasing
—
Ji-Min Park
“Return to Seoul”
Sony Pictures Classics
—
Jim Parsons
“Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies”
Highlight Features
—
Jo Koy
“Easter Sunday”
Universal Pictures
—
Joel Edgerton
“The Stranger”
Transmission Films
—
Joshua Boone*
“A Jazzman’s Blues”
Netflix
—
Justin Chatwin
“The Walk”
Vertical Entertainment
—
Kelvin Harrison Jr.
“Chevalier”
Searchlight Pictures
—
Kevin Kline
“The Good House”
Roadside Attractions / Lionsgate
—
Lamar Johnson*
“Brother”
No U.S. Distribution
—
Marin Grigore
“R.M.N.”
IFC Films
—
Mark Rylance
“The Phantom of the Open”
Sony Pictures Classics
—
Matthias Schweighöfer
“The Swimmers”
Netflix
—
Mehdi Bajestani
“Holy Spider”
Utopia
—
Michael Banks Repeta
“Armageddon Time”
Highlight Features
—
N.T. Rama Rao Jr.
“RRR”
Raftar Creations
—
Nicholas Hoult
“The Menu”
Searchlight Pictures
—
Nicolas Cage
“Butcher’s Crossing”
Saban Films
—
Nicolas Cage
“The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent”
Lionsgate
—
Owen Teague
“Montana Story”
Bleecker Street
—
Park Hae-il
“Decision to Leave”
Mubi
—
Pascal Greggory
“One Fine Morning”
Sony Pictures Classics
—
Patton Oswalt
“I Love My Dad”
Magnolia Pictures
—
Paul Mescal
“Aftersun”
A24
—
Ralph Fiennes
“The Forgiven”
Roadside Attractions
—
Ralph Fiennes*
“The Menu”
Searchlight Pictures
—
Ricardo Darín
“Argentina, 1985”
Amazon Studios
—
RJ Cyler
“Emergency”
Amazon Studios
—
Robert Pattinson
“The Batman”
Warner Bros.
—
Ryan Gosling
“The Gray Man”
Netflix
—
Sam Rockwell
“See How They Run”
Searchlight Pictures
—
Sam Worthington
“Avatar: The Way of Water”
20th Century Studios
—
Sebastian Maniscalco
“About My Father”
Lionsgate
—
Song Kang-ho
“Broker”
Neon
—
Sope Dirisu
“Mr. Malcolm’s List”
Bleecker Street
—
Sterling K. Brown
“Honk for Jesus. Save Your Soul”
Universal Pictures
—
Steve Coogan*
“The Lost King”
Warner Bros.
—
Taj Atwal
“What’s Love Got to Do With It?”
No U.S. Distribution
—
Tim Roth
“Resurrection”
IFC Films
—
Timothée Chalamet
“Bones & All”
MGM/United Artists Releasing
—
Tom Burke
“The Wonder”
Netflix
—
Tom Cruise
“Top Gun: Maverick”
Paramount Pictures
—
Tom Hanks
“A Man Called Otto”
Sony Pictures
—
Viggo Mortensen
“Crimes of the Future”
Neon
—
Vincent Lindon
“Both Side of the Blade”
IFC Films
—
Wes Studi
“Love Song”
Bleecker Street
—
Will Ferrell
“Spirited”
Apple Original Films
—
Will Smith
“Emancipation”
Apple Original Films
—
Winston Duke*
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”
Marvel Studios
—
Zac Efron
“The Greatest Beer Run Ever”
Apple Original Films
—
Zachary Levi
“Shazam! Fury of the Gods”
Warner Bros.
2023 Academy Awards Predictions
About Academy Awards (Oscars).
TheAcademy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences has selected the nominees and winners every year since 1927. The nearly 10,000-member membership includes 17 branches. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.
The 95th Oscars ceremony was held at the Dolby Theater and televised live by ABC on Sunday, March 12, 2022.
